Poll Shows Democrats Lead In Wisconsin's US Senate & Governor Races

Sep 18, 2018

The new Marquette Law School Poll shows Democratic gubernatorial candidate Tony Evers has pulled ahead of Republican incumbent Scott Walker. At the same time, Democratic U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin has a sizable lead over her challenger, Republican state Sen. Leah Vukmir, according to the survey.

Among likely voters, Department of Public Instruction chief Evers has a 5 percent lead against GOP Gov. Walker. Forty-nine percent prefer Evers, while 44 percent prefer Walker. In the August poll, the two were tied at 46 percent.

According to this latest poll, Walker has an "unfavorable" rating of 52 percent and a "favorable" rating of 45 percent among likely voters. Evers has a 29 percent "unfavorable" rating and 40 percent "favorable" rating from likely voters.

The poll shows that Democratic U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin has a strong lead over Republican challenger Leah Vukmir with likely voters. Fifty-three percent prefer Baldwin, while 42 percent prefer Vukmir.

Among likely voters, 48 percent give Baldwin a "favorable" rating, compared to Vukmir's 26 percent. Both are at about 40 percent when it comes to the "unfavorable" ranking.

This is the first time the poll included the race for Wisconsin’s attorney general. Republican incumbent Brad Schimel leads Democratic candidate Josh Kaul. Forty-eight percent prefer Schimel, while 41 percent prefer Kaul. Neither Schimel nor Kaul is well-known among likely voters, according to the survey.

The poll interviewed 800 registered Wisconsin voters by landline or cell phone Sept. 12-16. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points among registered voters. For 614 likely voters, the margin of error was plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.